Not all risks come from markets moving. Some come from people, institutions, or simply timing.
A customer doesn’t pay. A bank becomes less reliable. Cash is in the wrong place at the wrong time. None of this requires a crisis headline to hurt a company.
These are the risks treasury manages daily. Less visible than FX or interest rates, but often more immediate.
Credit Risk: When Money Owed Doesn’t Arrive
Credit risk is the risk that a counterparty, typically a customer or financial institution, fails to meet its obligations.
For treasury, this includes:
The key questions:
High concentration increases vulnerability. If one large counterparty fails, the impact can be significant.
Treasury monitors:
Because the problem with credit risk is that it often looks fine… until it suddenly isn’t.
Counterparty Risk: Beyond Just Customers
Counterparty risk goes beyond customers. It includes:
Even large, well-known institutions are not risk-free. History has made that painfully clear.
Treasury manages this by:
It’s not about assuming failure. It’s about not being overly exposed if it happens.
Liquidity Risk: The Timing Problem
Liquidity risk is one of the most fundamental risks in treasury.
It’s not about whether the company is profitable. It’s about whether it has cash available when needed.
A company can be profitable and still face liquidity stress if:
Liquidity risk is about timing, access, and flexibility.
Managing Liquidity
Treasury ensures liquidity by:
The goal is not to hold as much cash as possible. It’s to have sufficient and accessible liquidity without excessive idle balances.
Finding that balance is where experience comes in.
Trapped Cash and Accessibility
Not all cash is equal.
Cash held in:
May not be readily available.
Treasury needs to understand:
Because cash that cannot be used when needed does not solve liquidity problems.
Concentration Risk
One of the recurring themes across credit, counterparty, and liquidity risk is concentration.
Too much exposure to:
Increases vulnerability.
Diversification reduces risk, but introduces complexity. Treasury balances both.
Early Warning Signals
These risks rarely appear out of nowhere.
Warning signs include:
Treasury monitors these indicators to act early, not react late.
Where It Goes Wrong
Some familiar patterns:
Most of these issues build gradually. Then become urgent very quickly.
Treasury’s Role
Treasury ensures the company:
These risks don’t usually get attention when everything is stable.
But when something goes wrong, they become the only thing that matters.
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